Work package 2: Impacts of dominant air-sea interaction modes on the variability of extreme climate events over East Asia (lead by B. Wu)

Workpackage 2 will first explore how air-sea interaction modes modulate extreme events in East Asia through teleconnection patterns. These modes include ENSO and IOBM on annual timescales and Interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) and Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation (AMO) on decadal timescales. High temporal and spatial resolution observational/reanalysis data will be analyzed and idealized numerical experiments will be conducted using a hierarchy of different complexity climate models. We will use climate prediction experiments to assess variations in these air-sea interaction modes and estimate predictability of extreme events based upon their statistical relationships with these modes.